Thursday, January 27, 2011

When China Rules the World (Oh, that's so 1776!)

Anyone who is concerned about the Rise of China apoplexy that is sweeping the USA and, to a lesser extent, Europe should look at Martin Jacques's TED Talk.  Jacques is a writer, journalist and public intellectual. The talk is a very concise summary of the main ideas of his 2009 book When China Rules the World: The Rise of the Middle Kingdom and the End of the Western World.

Jacques's economic analysis is nothing special.  A new book on China's economic rise is published every week.  However, he has original and interesting things to say about  China as a 'civilization-state" rather than a "nation-state", about Chinese attitudes toward race and about the relationship of the state to society.  Of course, all of these themes are more fully treated in the book than in the 24 minute TED video.  One of the more interesting points omitted from the video is that modern China's relations with it's east Asian neighbors may be evolving into a tributary nation system which reached its previous height in the 17th and 18th centuries.

China was arguably the dominant world power in those days.  The British empire did not reach its peak until the 19th century and the Spanish was already in decline. The Ottoman empire centered on Constantinople had begun to come apart at the seams.

Here's an interesting chart of the world's largest cities over time. (Source: http://geography.about.com/library/weekly/aa011201a.htm)  I have highlighted the Chinese ones.


CityYear
Became #1
Population Information
Memphis, Egypt3100 BCEWell over 30,000
Akkad, Babylonia (Iraq)2240
Lagash, Babylonia (Iraq)2075
Ur, Babylonia (Iraq)203065,000
Thebes, Egypt1980
Babylon, Babylonia (Iraq)1770
Avaris, Egypt1670
Memphis, Egypt1557
Thebes, Egypt1400
Nineveh, Assyria (Iraq)668
Babylon, Babylonia (Iraq)612First above 200,000
Alexandria320
Pataliputra (Patna), India300
Changan (Xi'an), China195400,000
Rome25450,000 (100 CE)
Constantinople (Istanbul), Turkey340 CE400,000 (500)
Ctesiphon, Iraq570
Changan (Xi'an), China637400,000 (622); 600,000 (800)
Baghdad, Iraq775First over 1 million; 700,000 (800)
Cordova, Spain935
Kaifeng, China1013400,000 (1000); 442,000 (1100)
Constantinople (Istanbul), Turkey1127
Merv (Mary), Turkmenistan1145200,000 (1150)
Constantinople (Istanbul), Turkey1153
Fez (Fes), Morocco1170
Hangzhou, China1180255,000 (1200); 320,000 (1250)
Cairo, Egypt1315
Hangzhou, China1348432,000 (1350)
Nanking, China1358487,000 (1400)
Beijing, China1425600,000 (1450); 672,000 (1500)
Constantinople (Istanbul), Turkey1650700,000 (1650 & 1700)
Beijing, China1710900,000 (1750); 1.1 million (1800)
London, United Kingdom1825First over 5 million; 1.35 million (1825); 2.32 million (1850); 4.241 million (1875); 6.480 million (1900)
New York1925First over 10 million; 7.774 million (1925), 12.463 million (1950)
Tokyo1965First over 20 million; 23 million (1975)

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